The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency

نویسندگان

چکیده

We estimate the U.S. New Keynesian Phillips Curve in time-frequency domain with continuous wavelet tools to provide integrated answers three controversial issues. (1) Has short-run tradeoff been stable? (2) What has role of expectations? (3) Is there a long-run tradeoff? First, we find that is limited some specific episodes and no evidence nonlinearities or structural breaks. Second, households’ expectations captured trend inflation until Great Recession, but not since 2008. Finally, significant tradeoff. In long-run, explain inflation.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1879-1743', '0165-1889']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2023.104620